Wednesday, April 12, 2006

China and the US: Taiwan

This is a big issue and I felt could well do with being re-visited.

Since Tuesday the balance of power in Italy lies with their ex-patriot senators. They are cultural Italian but nationals of other countries. Italy has thus established for itself a cultural, as distinct for a national political, identity on our planet.

The reality of our increasingly evident global village is that it is one of cultures not nations. It is perhaps best seen so. This avoids one kind of war.

Culturally Taiwan is Chinese. It is increasingly so economically as in Ohmae's

"The Emergence of the United States of Chunghwa" (2003)

He predicted (wrongly?) that by 2005 Taiwan would politically integrate with China in the so-called "United States of Chunghwa". My own observation is that Fujian Province is already an economic Taiwanese colony on main land China as perhaps Taiwan is of America.

Taiwan is increasingly economically integrated with China and with it the world. Culturally it is Chinese. This is all conflict free. However its nationhood is pregnant with the seeds of Sino-US war. This is the only big potential war left on our planet. Let it not be.

However China cannot, like Italy, elect Taiwanese senators. It does not have an elected legislature to appoint them to. The CCP does consult Taiwanese people. It does so all over China. However the electivity of such representation is the true line in the sand between Taiwan and China. The issue for Taiwan cannot be representation nor independence but electively expressed choice. If this was in place China would not be split now and the US might still be in the British commonwealth rather than the British in its. For China and the CCP not Taiwan, the issue is sedition through cessation. Without declared cessation there is no declared CCP threat.

Iraq, Africa, the Koreas, Indonesia etc are non-cultural entities derived from colonial cultural splitting. This left the residue of conflict now dealt with.

Cultural melting pots have also arisen from this past, the USA, Canada, Australia and parts of South America. These do have socio-economic problems but do not seek war. For democracy they choose to police the global commons, thank god.

I am forever grateful for the sacrifices made to this end. The USAAF graveyards at Cambridge and Runnymede, of Magna Carta fame, stand testament to this with 20year olds American lives. Do such lives need to be given for a situation that cultural, economic, social and political evolution can solve?

A way has been found for Macau and Hong Kong. China and the CCP can gain, and are gaining, a great deal from the know how on social, economic and political evolution being generated in Taiwan. The CCP has far more to lose than gain from a war over Taiwan provided it is not asked to sacrifice face with a threat to the integrity of China. If the Middle Kingdom stays intact within cultural humanly defined apolitical bounds no problem seems to exist. Should anyone create one?

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